First and foremost, it is an honor to be allowed to write about something that I love and am very passionate about: Fantasy Football. I’ve been playing fantasy football for about seven years now, and in that time I’ve played in over 20 leagues, won multiple championships and have had tons of fun along the way.
Obviously, when it comes to fantasy football, most of it is about luck (add cliché Andrew Luck pun here). However, it also takes a lot of hard work to go out and win games and championships: paying attention to every stat of every game; waking up in the middle of the night every Wednesday to check the waiver wire; waking up early on Sunday’s with hangovers just to check the inactive lists before the early games.
To the people looking from the outside in, people who are crazy about fantasy football seem to be just that: crazy. Maybe we are, maybe we aren’t. The fact of the matter is, we’re just trying to have some competitive fun.
In this new weekly column, I will be attempting to help some of you out with whom to sit and start each week. Which essentially means that I’ll be doing all of your fantasy football related research for you. I will also be giving my picks on which teams I believe will win each week for the remainder of the football season.
Before I jump into this, remember that this is just my opinion based on statistics. So if you don’t agree with some of the things said, go with what your gut tells. And remember: always start your studs.
Start ‘Em: Quarterbacks
- Matthew Stafford (Detroit): Yes, he’ll possibly be without Calvin Johnson and Reggie Bush, but he’s still Matthew Stafford. Which means he is still top 5 in passing yards on a pass first team. And to help, he’s playing a Minnesota defense that has allowed 9 passing touchdowns in the last four weeks.
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- Philip Rivers (San Diego): He’s a top 4 fantasy QB this year, he has over 1,400 passing yards, 12 touchdowns and only 2 interceptions. And oh yeah, he’s playing the Raiders.
- Other QB’s: If you don’t have any of the top 10 QBs or you just don’t trust your QB in his match up this week, Kirk Cousins is facing an Arizona defense who has lost another one of their starters and were torched by the Denver offense a week ago. Obviously Cousins is no Peyton Manning, but he has averaged over 300 passing yards and 2 TDs since taking over for Robert Griffin III. Also, Eli Manning is starting to look like the Eli Manning that won two Super Bowls. In the past three games, Eli has thrown for 734 yards and 8 TDs. This week, he plays a Philadelphia defense, which is the number one D/ST team, but they have also allowed 13 passing touchdowns so far this season.
Sit ‘Em: Quarterbacks
- Tom Brady (New England): Arguably, one of the best QBs of all time, but he hasn’t been himself over the past two seasons. New England’s offensive line has been in constant rotation since the beginning of the season, and it’s caused Brady to be sacked 10 times so far. He’s going into a game against a Buffalo defense that has 17 sacks this season, including 6 sacks on Stafford last week. Expect him to be pressured all game and not get much off in terms of yards.
- Cam Newton (Carolina): He’s got a rib injury and an ankle injury, which is causing him to not do what he does best: run. Also, the Bengals have a really good defense and have only allowed 4 passing TDs this season.
- Andy Dalton (Cincinnati): Carolina’s defense has allowed 10 passing TDs so far this season. Sounds like a great match up for Dalton, right? Wrong. He’ll be without star WR AJ Green (toe) and TE Tyler Eifert (IR), which means run, run, run.
Start ‘Em: Running Backs
- Ben Tate (Cleveland): Don’t let the Pittsburgh defense stop you from playing Tate. When Cleveland played Pittsburgh in week 1, Tate had 6 carries for 41 yards before getting injured. Terrence West then came in and rushed for 100 yards. Pittsburgh defense isn’t all that scary, especially with the injuries they’ve had since the week one meeting. Last week, his first game back, he averaged 5.6 yards per carry against a Tennessee defense that has allowed over 100 rushing yards only once before so far this season, and that was to the leagues leading rusher, Demarco Murray.
- Demarco Murray (Dallas): Speaking of Demarco Murray. Seattle defense or no Seattle defense, you start Murray. He’s had over 100 rushing yards every game this season. This is a no brainer.
- LeSean McCoy and Darren Sproles (Philadelphia): Two for one here. New York Giants have given up over 350 receiving yards to running backs this season. McCoy and Sproles happen to be two of the best receiving running backs in the league, and just so happen to be one of the highest scoring offenses in the league. Plus, McCoy has to go back to being McCoy at some point, right?
- Other RBs: This has been something of a struggle year at the running back position, but Marshawn Lynch, Le’Veon Bell, and Matt Forte have been really consistent running and catching the ball. Andre Williams will be carrying the load for the Giants this week with Rashad Jennings out with a sprained MCL, and he should be looking at around 20 carries for the game.
Sit ‘Em: Running Backs
- Baltimore backfield: Sit any and every Baltimore running back until they figure out who will be carrying the load for the rest of the season.
- Oakland backfield: Oakland’s running backs have a combined 1 TD on the season and less than 200 yards rushing. They shouldn’t even be owned in any fantasy league at this point.
- Atlanta backfield: Steven Jackson is the starter and get’s the bulk of the carries, but Antone’ Smith has scored more TDs than the other RBs combined and he only gets 4-5 touches a game. Jackson and the rest of the running back committee should only be started if you’re desperate.
Start ‘Em: Wide Receivers
- Demaryius Thomas (Denver): Well, well, well. Look who finally decided to show up five weeks into the season. Thomas saw a season-high, 16 targets last week, and made the most of them by getting 226 receiving yards. He probably won’t see the same amount of yards this week, but he should have a big game against the young Jets corners.
- Steve Smith Sr. (Baltimore): Steve Smith Sr. had four monster games in the first four weeks of the season, but had a miserable week five. He’s fourth in the league in receiving yards, and has had three 100-plus yard games. Look for him to bounce back with a big game against a Tampa Bay defense that has struggled against the pass all season long.
- Golden Tate (Detroit): Tate has become Matthew Stafford’s favorite target the past two weeks with Calvin Johnson only playing as a decoy. Tate has had 250 yards and 1 TD in the past two weeks, and should continue that hot streak against a weaker Minnesota secondary.
- Other WRs: Tony Romo always finds a way to get Terrence Williams into the end zone. Williams has 5 TDs on the season so far, and 4 in the past three weeks. Mohamed Sanu will become Andy Dalton’s number one target in Cincinnati this weekend with AJ Green out with a toe injury. Brian Quick is having what looks to be a break out season and Percy Harvin should actually see the end zone, without any negating penalties, against an ailing Dallas secondary.
Sit ‘Em: Wide Receivers
- Calvin Johnson (Detroit): Johnson hasn’t been officially ruled as inactive for this week’s match up, but even if he plays, expect nothing more of him than being a decoy.
- Cordarrelle Patterson (Minnesota): This may come back on me because Teddy Bridgewater could possibly turn this team’s offense around. But with Adrian Peterson gone, Patterson is the number one guy that teams game plan for. He just hasn’t got enough done throughout the season for me to have faith.
- Michael Crabtree (San Francisco): Crabtree has been dealing with a foot injury, which he has said isn’t an issue. However, since injuring it two weeks ago, Crabtree has had only 6 catches for 59 yards. Until he can show on the field that the foot isn’t an issue, he should be on your bench unless you have no one better.
Start ‘Em: Tight End
- Start your studs. Michael Bennett, Rob Gronkowski, Greg Olsen, Julius Thomas, etc. All of them should be in a starting line up every week unless of course they’re injured. If your TE is a top-12 guy, start him.
Sit ‘Em: Tight End
- Jared Cook (St. Louis): The targets have been there for Cook, but he has yet to see the end zone and he’s going into a game against a San Francisco defense who doesn’t allow many points for tight ends.
- Jason Witten (Dallas): One of the best TEs in all of football, but has not seen many targets on what has now become a run first offense in Dallas. He’s also going against one of the best defenses in the league in Seattle.
Picks of the week:
- New England over Buffalo
- Baltimore over Tampa Bay
- Pittsburgh over Cleveland
- Carolina over Cincinnati
- Denver over New York Jets
- Detroit over Minnesota
- Green Bay over Miami
- Titans over Jacksonville
- San Diego over Oakland
- Chicago over Atlanta
- Seattle over Dallas
- Washington over Arizona
- New York Giants over Philadelphia
- San Francisco over St. Louis